Nola has arguably been San Diego’s most clutch player during the postseason. But Musgrove will have to deal with Harper at his best while Harper should get at least one or two at-bats against the San Diego bullpen, so it’s not a stretch for him to get a pair of singles or an extra-base hit. Granted, he’s just 3-for-14 in his career against Musgrove with no extra-base hits. It’s just going to take one extra-base hit to put Harper over 1.5 total bases, and with the way he’s swinging the bat, it’d be surprising if that didn’t happen. He’s also 3-for-8 with seven total bases over the first two games of this series. He’s gone 13 for 31 (.419) during the postseason with four home runs and four doubles. There might be no better hitter to bet on right now than Harper. While the Phillies have a lot of power, they can be vulnerable when it comes to striking out, and Musgrove should be able to take advantage of that. Also, Rhys Hoskins is 0-for-8 with three strikeouts in his career against the San Diego starter. Kyle Schwarber has struck out in eight of his 16 career at-bats against Musgrove. Bryce Harper has seven strikeouts in 14 career at-bats against him. Nick Castellanos has seven strikeouts in 18 career at-bats against Musgrove.
Meanwhile, Musgrove also has a long history of striking out the key members of Philadelphia’s lineup. Including the end of the regular season, Musgrove has struck out at least seven batters in four of his last six starts, reaching eight strikeouts in three of those starts, including his NLDS start against the Dodgers. With the way Musgrove has thrown the ball during the postseason, 5.5 strikeouts feels a little low. He should give the Philadelphia lineup a chance to get going offensively without falling behind early, allowing the Phillies to feed off the energy of the home crowd and get a win. 170 against Suarez, who pitched 7.1 innings against the Padres earlier this season, allowing just two runs and picking up the win. Plus, Ranger Suarez has strong numbers against most of San Diego’s hitters. That’s critical because the Phillies will need to the small collection of reliable bullpen arms to be ready to get key outs. More importantly, this is likely the last game in the series that everyone in the Philadelphia bullpen will be fully rested. The betting odds are even for this game, but give a little edge to the Phillies at home.
0 kommentar(er)
